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January 14th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning:  Help is On the Way Pentagon pizza orders, and odds for a U.S. strike on Iran this year, are hitting record highs in the last 24 hours. |
 Greenland A new Polymarket user, @MaxVerstap, is risking $102,690.12 on Trump taking over Greenland this year. 5X return if he is right. |
Tariff Ruling Soon Odds are spiking for the Supreme Court to rule on Trump's tariffs this month. JP Morgan traders predict that the SPX could pump 2% on the day if tariffs are struck down without being replaced. |
| Will the US strike Iran next? View market → | 42%-10% |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? View market → | 56%+28% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? View market → | 45%+17% |
| Uganda Presidential Election | 12h |
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| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | 1d |
| Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16? | 1d |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | 10h ago |
| How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee? | 12h ago |
| Grammys: Best New Age, Ambient, or Chant Album Winner | 13h ago |
| Hot Polymarkets | 24H Volume |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | $5.22M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | $4.63M |
| Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026? | $2.10M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | $2.20M |
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