Spice must flow

March 3rd, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today: Top News Spice must flow Odds of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz are spiking after Iran struck several vessels in the narrow waterway. In this case, Polymarket rules define closure as an 80% or greater drop in the 7 day moving average of vessel transits. Read more → ​ Quick Links Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? → Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June? → Blexas Texas's Democratic Senate primary is today. James Talarico is heavily favored on Polymarket despite Nate Silver only giving him a slight edge in a recent piece. Polls actually show Jasmine Crockett ahead, but they were taken before Talarico's Colbert interview went viral with 9 million views. Read more → ​ Quick Links Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory → ​ Wallet Watch @kcnyekchno Nate thinks Crockett may be value in Texas. But the largest Talrico "Yes" holder has made over $832,812 in profits since starting his account in July of 2025... View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15? View market → 73% +3% Anduril IPO before 2027? View market → 27% -3% US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? View market → 13% -35% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Next Prime Minister of Nepal 1d Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? 3d Nepal House of Representatives Election Winner 1d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass? 12h ago Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? 12h ago Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? 13h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $9.86M Fed decision in March? $5.05M Presidential Election Winner 2028 $4.65M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs 4h F1 Drivers' Champion 277d NBA Eastern Conference Champion 104d See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? $120.2K schizohedgehog See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.