Are you OK Gavin?

March 18th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today: Top News Are you OK Gavin? Gavin Newsom's 2028 nomination odds have been slipping from a high of 40% in early November. Where is his support going? If you squint, you'll see GA Senator Jon Ossoff up a couple points, but mostly it seems Newsom is losing ground to a widening field of long shots. Read more → Israel likely to invade Lebanon Traders are increasingly confident that Israel will soon invade southern Lebanon. "We are going to do what we did in Gaza," a senior Israeli official told Axios, referring to the destruction of buildings and tunnels that Hezbollah uses to store weapons and launch strikes. Read more → Back to business The World Baseball Classic finished up Tuesday with Venezuela upsetting the U.S., but now it's time to refocus on the upcoming MLB season. The Dodgers are favorites with a 29% chance to win their third straight championship, more than 3.5x that of the next-best team, the Yankees. Read more → ​ Wallet Watch Netanyahu Out? X has been buzzing with rumors and dodgy videos implying that Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu may be out of commission. This trader is holding strong despite already being down a luxury SUV. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $710b on March 31? View market → 6% -9% Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? View market → 31% -5% Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? View market → 85% +4% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In ECB Interest Rates: March 2026 12h Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ Week of March 16? 1d Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...? 2d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Iran military action against a Gulf State on...? 11h ago Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? 11h ago Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31? 12h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Paris Mayoral Election $933.8K Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March? $2.08M Netanyahu out by...? $5.57M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 2026 NCAA Tournament Winner 16d F1 Drivers' Champion 262d FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC 6h Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid 8h See all Top Sports → ​ ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.